Todd,
A big kite and big board will work fine here in 15 knots, as we have relatively little current in most spots. Plenty of guys ride in that area and most likely can hook up with you. It is possible we might even do a downwinder that day (around 12 miles), so keep in touch on here.
Your guess is as good as anyone's as to whether it will actually blow or not.
This time of year, it's 50 50 as to whether the front will bring wind (imo).
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