Looks pretty good in the NWS forecast with a strong system coming through* That is about the only forecast I take seriously for this part of the state myself as it is manually checked. It is even better that it is supposed to come in on Wednesday, giving you a chance to evaluate things before leaving Tampa. It may not develop as much or might come as predicted, hope so.
* Wednesday Night...Northeast to east winds near 20 knots. Seas beyond the reef building to 4 to 7 feet. Seas higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 2 to 3 feet. Nearshore waters rough. Isolated showers.
Thursday...Northeast to east winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas beyond the reef 5 to 8 feet. Seas higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 2 to 4 feet. Nearshore waters very rough. Isolated showers.
Friday...East winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas beyond the reef 6 to 8 feet. Seas higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 2 to 4 feet. Nearshore waters very rough. Isolated showers.
Saturday...East to southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas beyond the reef 4 to 6 feet. Seas inside the reef 2 to 3 feet. Nearshore waters choppy. Isolated showers.
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...fl&zmx=1&zmy=1